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| Download Oct13 Mag | Title | Type | Author | Description | | Spot The Bias | Horse Racing | Tom Meakin | Tom suggests a simple method for spotting a temporary draw bias and, how you might profit from such a bias. |
| The Arc And General Race Types | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A unique insight for any given race could be the edge that enables you to find good value bets. |
| Turn Back The Clock… | General | Russell Clarke | The biggest hurdle we face on the journey to becoming profitable bettors is much closer to home than you may realise. |
| Multinomial Logistic Regression Models For Horse Racing | Horse Racing | Dr Alun Owen | An introduction to multinomial logistic regression models for horse racing using the R statistical software. |
| Well In Horses Using TopSpeed and Official Ratings | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Broadly speaking, if a horse has logged a speed figure in the past that is higher than their current Official Rating, does this indicate an element of being well-handicapped? Mark offers some initial analysis. |
| Timeform Star Ratings: What Are They Worth? | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Ricky takes a look at how the free Timeform star ratings have performed in NH races since they became available in 2004. |
| The Future Of The Magazine: A New Proposal | General | Michael Wilding | Michael outlines his proposal for carrying the magazine forwards. |
| En Fin(?) Mes Amis | General | John Jackson | As always, Jacko wants the final say… |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Beating Betfair SP | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Should we consider weight of money when making the decision between taking the available back price (1 min to race off time) or Betfair SP? |
| Big Races In September | Horse Racing | David Renham | Trends analysis for some upcoming big race handicaps. |
| Media Groupthink: Derby 2013 (part three) | Horse Racing | Robert Ford | The final part of Robert's examination of media groupthink in UK horse racing provides more evidence and enlightenment on the topic, with the help of the 2013 Investec Epsom Derby. |
| Racecourse Stats - Best Way Forward? | Horse Racing | Email Group | One forum member has several questions regarding the interpretation of racecourse statistics (trainer/jockey etc). More experienced members offer a few pointers. |
| Bonus Battles | General | Tom Meakin | Are you looking 'bookmaker bonus offer' gift horses in the mouth? Tom thinks you might be. |
| Pitfalls, Perils and Profit ... Ante-Post Betting | Horse Racing | Russell Clarke | Russell provides an insight as to why Ante-Post betting offers punters the potential for excellent returns, with a logical approach. |
| The Performance Of Pricewise 2013 | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Pricewise has an enormous following but, is the service in danger of becoming a victim of it's own success? Ricky suggests some considerations for fans of the RP column. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | What Constitutes Back Fitting? | General | Email Group | Are you guilty of random data mining? The questions you need to ask yourself. |
| Kelly: Selections In Same Part III | Staking | John Jackson | For those who like to create oddslines or for the occasions when you think you have multiple favourable bets, part III of John’s work on Kelly’s extended algorithm looks at fractional staking across an entire field for both backs and lays simultaneously! |
| Media Groupthink: Derby 2013 (part two) | Horse Racing | Robert Ford | Robert continues his examination of media wide Groupthink in UK horse racing and attempts to provide some evidence and enlightenment on the topic, with the help of the 2013 Investec Epsom Derby. |
| Starting Points | Horse Racing | David Renham | A focus on starting points – raw ideas that have the potential to produce winning systems or winning methods for flat racing. |
| Why Do Three Year Olds Do Better In Longer Distance Races? | Horse Racing | Tom Meakin | Tom offers some thoughts on what appears to be a clear-cut trend. |
| How To Win & Lose A Fortune: The Kelly Criterion In Practice | Staking | Ricky Taylor | A simple look at the Kelly formula and how it performs on one of Ricky’s profitable racing systems. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Media Groupthink: Derby 2013 (part one) | Horse Racing | Robert Ford | Robert examines media wide Groupthink in UK horse racing and attempts to provide some evidence and enlightenment on the topic, with the help of the 2013 Investec Epsom Derby. |
| Age & Weight In Claimers | Horse Racing | Tom Meakin | A simple method for isolating possible bets in claiming races on the flat. |
| Sports Modelling – What is Going On in The Academic World | General | Dr Alun Owen | Alun keeps readers up to date with what is happening in the academic world with regards sports modelling. |
| Pre-Match Tennis Trading | Tennis | Daniel Weston | An excerpt from Daniel’s recently published Tennis Trading Handbook. |
| Group 1 Races | Horse Racing | David Renham | Dave examines Group 1 races to see if there are any angles we can exploit as a punter – be it positive or negative. |
| The Increasing Wisdom Of The Crowd | Horse Racing | Russell Clarke | Wisdom of the crowd – What is it? Moreover, what are the implications of the increasing wisdom of the crowd in UK horse racing? Russell offers his thoughts. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Kelly: Selections In Same Part II | Staking | John Jackson | For those who like to create oddslines or for the occasions when you think you have multiple favourable bets, part II of John’s work on Kelly’s extended algorithm looks at laying, and only laying, across the field. |
| Position In Weights And Effect On Performance | Horse Racing | Tom Meakin | A brief look into a horses' position in the weights and any effect on performance, leads Tom to suggest an age/weight range worthy of further research. |
| Estimating Stamina And Ability From Pedigrees | Horse Racing | Dr Peter May | Alternative methods to the dosage system based on information collected from just the sire and dam’s sire data. |
| Will Dawn Approach Stay The Derby Distance | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Ricky gives his thoughts on Dawn Approach and considers stamina concerns about the 2013 Epsom Derby favourite. |
| Future Race Pointers | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Many horses are primed to run in one of the bigger races during the flat season. Which runners should we consider following next time out, and which might we look to oppose. |
| Value is Dead! | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Are the days when you could say a horse was a ‘value bet’ at a given price gone? |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Never Mind The Draw – It’s Where The Pace Is | Horse Racing | Smartersig | Email group members discuss this well used platitude, following one member’s request of evidence to support the statement. |
| Draw Bias | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave goes back to his roots this month to show readers that while draw bias might be less prevalent than it was ten years ago, there are still some biases worth noting. |
| The Implications Of Playing In A 5 Set Tennis Match | Tennis | Daniel Weston | With three Grand Slam events to come over the summer, Daniel gives us the lowdown on a potential profitable angle for your betting. |
| Newmarket Guineas 2013 | Horse Racing | Len Bielby | Len runs us through the market leaders for the opening Classics races of 2013. Do their pedigrees suggest they have the qualities to win their respective races? |
| Playing The Field 6 Places In Golf Events | Golf | Tom Meakin | Tom extends his quest to profit from bookmaker enhanced place concessions, detailing his recent attempt at the US Masters golf, including post event analysis and potential for improvement. |
| Review Of The 2012/13 Jump Season | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A run through the key highlights and lowlights of the 2012/13 NH Season. |
| Dosage Methodology And The 2000 Guineas | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Nathan looks at the Dosage System, including the profiles of past 2000 Guineas winners. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Random Thoughts About Weka and Random Forests | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | Ideas about how to predict winners by using the free, open source, Weka machine learning software in conjunction with the Random Forest algorithm. Key focus is on data selection and presentation. |
| A Different Approach to Draw Bias | Horse Racing | Tom Meakin | Tom uses the Spearman Rank correlation figure to determine the significance of draw bias for specific course and distances. |
| The Forgotten Effects of International Football | Football | Adam Lione | Adam shares his recent experience of playing for England at the Partially Sighted Futsal World Championships in Japan. Are we as bettors weighting the travel factor sufficiently? |
| Irish Trainers | Horse Racing | David Renham | Dave takes a look at Irish flat trainers in the hope of uncovering a few decent betting angles. |
| Back In The Ring | Horse Racing | Sad Ken | SK gives us some background on his ‘Racing with Interest Series’ of books. |
| Grand National Preview 2013 | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A preview of the world’s most famous horse race, including Ricky’s own selections for the race. |
| Well-Handicapped Three-Year-Olds | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | A look at Jon Gibby’s work, including his latest book ‘Well-Handicapped Three-Year-Olds 2013’, and the potential they offer any punter looking to improve their own betting. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Challenging Races: Three-year-old Handicaps | Horse Racing | Dr Peter May | The third of three exclusive excerpts from Dr Peter May's forthcoming book titled: 'In Search Of The Winning System'. |
| Beating Betfair SP | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Mark examines potential strategies to bet placement which could lead us to gaining prices during the live markets that on average are better than Betfair SP. |
| Sad Ken | Horse Racing | Email Group | A group discussion, sparked during race analysis on the email forum, about Sad Ken and his publications/methods. |
| Maximising Odds Using Creative Bet Choices On Asian Hcp Bets | Football | Dr Alun Owen | With some creative bet choices in formulating your asian handicap bets you can increase the odds you acheive; Alun shows us how. |
| Ten Year Trends - A Preview Of My New Book | Horse Racing | David Renham | Dave shares two complete races from his new book, having explained how he has broken down each of the 50 handicaps examined. |
| The Best Team Wins The League! | Football | Tom Meakin | Does the best team always win the league? Tom takes a quick look. |
| Cheltenham Festival Preview | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Ricky offers some pointers for this months much anticipated Cheltenham Festival. |
| The CGA Foxhunter Chase | Horse Racing | Andrew Norman | An extensive preview of The Foxhunter Chase by Point-To-Point reporter and Hunter Chase expert Andrew Norman. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Million Dollar Two-Year-Olds | Horse Racing | Dr Peter May | The second of three exclusive excerpts from Dr Peter May’s forthcoming book titled: ‘In Search Of The Winning System’. |
| Average Official Rating In Handicaps | Horse Racing | David Renham | Is the race average OR for all age flat handicaps a better indicator of class than simply taking the assigned race class at face value? |
| Sports Traders – Mark Iverson | General | Nathan Hughes | An interview with full time sports trader Mark Iverson. |
| Long Term League Projections | Football | Tom Meakin | Following recent articles offering statistical insight into the Premier League, Tom gives us his opinion on long term football betting and an insight into his own methods for long term league projection. |
| Kelly: Selections In Same | Staking | John Jackson | For those who like to create oddslines or for the occasions when you think you have multiple favourable bets, John has been working on Kelly's extended algorithm to back multiple selections in the same event. |
| Trainer Change: More Than A Change Of Scenery | Horse Racing | John Bywater | A look at horses having a first run for a new trainer and, can we still profit from them? |
| Goal Expectation | Football | Jonny Grossmark | Jonny examines in play variables that will affect a predictive football models ability to produce an exact goal expectation game by game and, suggests how to use this to your advantage when looking at in play goal expectation. |
| Longshots | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Ricky offers some pointers for readers looking to uncover value in horses at longer prices. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | RSS Statistics In Sport - December Meet On Sports Analytics | General | Dr Alun Owen | An introduction to the relatively new Statistics In Sport section of the Royal Statistical Society, plus an update from recent meetings. |
| The False Dawn | Horse Racing | Dr Peter May | The first of three exclusive excerpts from Dr Peter May's forthcoming book titled 'In Search Of The Winning System'. |
| Sports ‘Personality’ Of The Year | General | Nathan Hughes | It will never be everyones cup of tea, but can we learn anything from a simple attempt to model SPOTY with some public data. |
| Is It Time For You To Specialise? | Horse Racing | John Bywater | Having decided to specialise on low grade racing, John gives us an introduction into his own betting activity. |
| Backfitted Disaster Or Golden System? | Horse Racing | Paul McGlinchey | The lure of system creation proved too much for Paul to resist; but for this author at least, there are still questions to be answered. |
| How To Find A Black Cat In A Coal Cellar | General | Joseph Buchdahl | Author Joe Buchdahl gives readers an insight into his latest book, and offers us the chance to win a copy. |
| 3yo Races from January to March On The AW | Horse Racing | David Renham | Dave investigates 3yo races from January to March on the AW in an attempt to find a potential betting edge. |
| End Of Season Betting In The Premiership: An Update | Football | Dr Alun Owen | Has the busy Christmas football schedule had any impact on the potential value suggested in Alun's early statistical insight into some of the Premier Leagues' outright betting markets. |
| Who Will Win The 2012/2013 Jumps Trainer Championship? | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | As the battle for the NH Trainers' Championship hots up the bookmakers make Nicky Henderson the hot favourite; but have they called it right? |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Systems Throwing Up The Same Selections | Horse Racing | Email Group | Should each system bet be viewed on merit within it's own system and staked accordingly when multiple systems throw up the same selection? |
| 16+ Runner Handicaps & 5 Places: Each Way Value | Horse Racing | Tom Meakin | A look at 16+ runner handicaps and a few possible angles to exploit them with the help of bookmaker concessions. |
| 5 Quick Cricket Trading Tips | Cricket | Mark Iverson | Mark suggests some basic considerations for planning a course of action when trading the outcome of cricket matches. |
| Compiling Speed Figures | Horse Racing | Markus Johansen | A clear and concise guide to compiling your own unique speed ratings. |
| Trainer Form – How Relevant? | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave examines the importance of trainer form using what he believes is a fair method of quantifying recent form. |
| Key Race Tracking US Style | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Key race data is a simple but yet potentially quite powerful visual form aid, but does the method offer a betting advantage. |
| What Will Win The 2012 King George VI Chase? | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A brief history of the race and a few pointers for this years renewal of the King George VI Chase. |
| West Brom To Qualify For The Champs Lge? Can Harry Save QPR? | Football | Dr Alun Owen | Alun offers his statistical insight into the current potential value in some of the Premier Leagues' outright markets. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Embrace the Media Mugs | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Does the TV do more damage to our betting than we realise, sound up or sound down ?. |
| 3 yo Sire Profiling | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Nathan looks at 3yo sire profiling using the SmarterSig sire analyser and in particular why Singspiel may be one to follow next year |
| Jockey Pace | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | When let loose near the front of the pace the best jock during 1999 to 2008 was Kerrin Mcevoy, who is the best from the current crop? |
| Will You Miss John McCririck | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | A look at the new and old Channel 4 team and what they may offer viewers in the coming years |
| Trainer Trends November | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | The NH season really swings into play this month, which trainers are the best to side with in the opening month?. |
| Update 2012 | Software | John Jackson | John reviews his 2009 technology predictions and as punters we become increasingly dependent on computers, he looks further ahead on our behalf. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Predictor Variable Selection in Models | Horse Racing | Dr Alun Owen | What should we leave out and what should we leave in when building race rating models ?. |
| The Curious Case of Dancing Braves Rating | Horse Racing | Gareth Flynn | Many people cannot understand why Frankel is rated a pound below Dancing Brave, Gareth analyses the reasons why |
| Ten to Follow NH | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick go's through his shortlist for the coming NH season |
| Rating Less is More More is More Prt II | Horse Racing | Email Group | Continuation of the email discussion on ratings components and whether more means better |
| Race Profiling 2m Hurdles | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Get the stats on your side when assessing a race over 2m and 2m 1f hurdles |
| Applied Probability | General | Jonathan Russell | The first step towards dealing with losing runs is knowing how likely they are to happen Jonathan explains |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Jockey Bias | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A chance chat on Twitter leads to a look at some unusual jockey bias |
| Betfair R PRogRamming | Software | John Jackson | John introduces a more succinct alternative to his Visual Basic approach to the Betfair API using R instead |
| Mark Howards One Jump Ahead | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | It has been a very good year for Mark Howards publication Nathan takes a look and offers you the chance to win a copy |
| Is It Time For a Data Revolution In Horseracing | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Football has undergone a data transformation is racing lagging behind ? |
| Trainers In The Autumn | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Which trainers should we be focusing on as Autumn approaches, Dave takes a look at the figures |
| Ratings Less is More or More is Less | Horse Racing | Email Group | When compiling ratings should we be wary of adding too many factors or is more better ? |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | AE Vs IV Ratings | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | AE's and IV's can both be used to compile ratings, is one better than the other ? |
| 10 Year Trends August Big Handicaps | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A look at some of the stats behind the big August handicaps |
| NagMe Racing Alerts Service | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | A review of one of the horse alert services and how to never miss a bet |
| Scraping Data With Perl IV | Software | Mark Littlewood | Final part in the data scraping articles using Perl |
| Curse of the Yankee | Horse Racing | Email Group Nathan Hughes | If you are profitable to single bets are Yankees a good addition to your bet portfolio |
| How Profitable is Pricewise | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Just how profitable is Pricewise if you cannot secure the early morning prices ? |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | 2yo Maidens a Look At Sires | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | We are about to hit the 2yo maiden season with races over varying distances. Dave casts his eye over the influence of sires |
| Bootstrapping a Method Of Betting | Horse Racing | Steve Tilley | Fresh from the SmarterSig improve your betting conference Steve looks at bootstrapping and its uses for systems evaluations |
| To Be Quite Frankel | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | A press release from Black Caviar's trainer sparks some debate on ratings within the email forum |
| Is Frankel The Greatest | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick takes a look at the horse everyone has an opinion on |
| Scraping Data With Perl III | Software | Mark Littlewood | Third part in how to use Perl to scrape web data |
| The Newmarket July Meeting | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A look at some of the trends and stats that can help us as we approach the big July meeting |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Euro 12 | Football | John Jackson | With the tournament almost upon us John Jackson takes a look at betting strategies and spreadsheet analysis |
| Scraping Data with Perl II | Software | Mark Littlewood | The second in the series on using Perl to scrape or obtain horse racing data |
| LTO Winners | Horse Racing | Dave Rehham | The last run especially if its a win is one of the most scrutinized ingredients but is there any value in them. |
| Fast and Wellin | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | An update on the wet and wellin list from May and some flat counterparts for the coming months |
| Gambling Legends Bill Benter and Alan Woods | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | A look at the betting life and background of two of the most successful horse racing gamblers |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Scraping data with PERL | Software | Mark Littlewood | First of a series on gathering data using perl and web scraping |
| York Dante meeting | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave drills down into the dante meeting, don't bet on the knavesmire without it |
| NH wet and wellin | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | As the seasons change as do the favoured, NH follow up to the flat article profits |
| Horse to follow on the flat | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | A select list of flat horses to follow this season |
| The use of bootstrapping to assess sytems | Software | Dr Alun Owen | Alun shows how running the results 10,000 times can be an alternative to Archie in evaluating the robustness of a set of results |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | In the Spotlight Hunter Chasers | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Specialisation is often the key to profit and Nathan looks at one group of people who are doing just that |
| The Aintree Hurdle | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Rick takes a look at the vital stats behind the up coming Aintree hurdle |
| Betfair API programming III | Software | John Jackson | John continues his look at automating the bet process through the Betfair API |
| Looking for an Early Season Edge with Trainer Stats | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Who are the trainers to follow in the early season exchanges |
| Using Information Theory to Select Winners | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | Looking at how Information Theory can remove the losers from our data sets |
| The Single Biggest Mistake Punters Make | General | Russell Clarke | How many bets do we need to feel some level of confidence about the future, Monte Carlo simulations can expose the the limits of our thinking |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | SmarterSig Conference | General | The Committee | Introduction to the up and coming SmarterSig conference, DO NOT MISS IT! |
| Mark Howard Ahead on the Flat | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Nathan Reviews this years review of the flat publication from Mark Howard |
| The Figures Never Lie Do They? | Football | Dr Alun Owen | Alun dismantles and rebuilds a blog on football stats by James Willoughby |
| Switching stables on the flat | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave continues his in depth look at horses switching stables, this time on the flat |
| Weak on Betfair | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Worried that your horse is weak on Betfair compared to the bookie price?. Which trainers perform well and which don't under these circumstances |
| Room 101 Gubbing | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A track by track analysis of Betfair 1.01 gubbings |
| The Champion Chase | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick takes a look at the vital trends behind the Cheltenham champion chase |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Betfair API Programming II | Software | John Jackson | John continues his series with the second part on how to utilise the Betfair API to automate your betting needs |
| The Turtle Story | General | Russell Clarke | Russell (ex odds on columist) looks back at the Turtle investment experiment and how it ties in with the psychology of betting and investment |
| Great Betting Coups | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick takes a look back at some of the great betting coups of the past |
| Evaluating the Reliability of Systems | Horse Racing | Email Group | A discussion on the email forum takes a look at various ways of evaluating the validity of system data |
| Switching to a New NH Trainer | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | An in depth look at the significant stable switchers within NH racing |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | What Are My Odds | Horse Racing | Dr Alun Owen | A resume of the talk on horse racing betting given by William Bentner in 2004 |
| Lingfield Winter Derby | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Which simple stat has produced 7 of the last 10 winter derby winners ? |
| Big Race Trends ToteSport Trophy | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | What to look for when examining the runners for this big post Christmas NH handicap |
| Betbutler Afterthoughts and Experiences | General | Email Group | Discussion on the email forum regarding the use of Betbutler since our last appraisal of the bet brokering service |
| 5f Turf In Running | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave continues his examination of approaches to dobbing with an in depth look at 5f races |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Going Up | Horse Racing | John Jackson | An account with some pictures of Novembers SmarterSig get together in Oxford. |
| Betting on the AW Southwell | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Rick looks at what is required to improve your betting on the Southwell AW track for this coming season. |
| New Year Predictions European Leagues | Football | Paul Mcglinchey | Following on from last year Paul takes a look at league positions in the new year and final finish positions for some European leagues |
| Selectivity or Turnover | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | An interesting discussion on the email group on to turnover or not to turnover |
| Starting Points NH | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave introduces some sound platforms from which to start developing systems for the NH |
| Betfair API Programming | Horse Racing | John Jackson | Part 1 of 3: programming the Betfair API using Visual Studio and VB or VC# |
| AM Market Analyser II | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Further updates on the Market Analyser |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | To DOB or not to DOB that is the question | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | DOBbing is a variety of in running betting. Dave explains its basis and approaches to achieving it |
| Market AM Price Analyser results | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Highlighting where the profit has been on the new AM market analyser on the web site |
| NH Ten to Follow | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick gives some advice which could be invaluable to Tote ten to follow as well as regular punters |
| Become a Small Stable Expert Update | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Nathan gives us the promised update from his spring article on tracking small stables |
| Soccer Betting on the Asian and Over Under Markets | Football | Alun Owen | Alun demystifies what at first seems like strange markets and highlights his some of his own success with his models |
| BetButler and Introduction and QA | Horse Racing | Email Group | A QA session with a rep from the brokering firm BetButler along with some user experiences |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | More Data Extractions | Horse Racing | John Jackson | Along with some accompanying utilities John explains how to extract data from various useful web sites |
| A Brief Encounter Negative Vibrations | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Which bookmakers early prices should we be taking note of especially when they are out of synch |
| The Big Race Trends Angle | Horse Racing | David Lee Priest | Author David Lee Priest takes a look at whether race trends can be taken seriously and offers an alternative approach to Cheltenham |
| Using Proform Comments to Analyse In Running | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave digs down into the into the pre race in running comments of Proform Racing |
| Betting in Novice Chasers Will your Bet Fall | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | A look at the stats covering fallers at various UK courses and where we should be careful with our novice bets |
| Morning Market Analyser | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | An introduction to the new facilty on the web site to analyse morning race markets |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | The Psychological Pitfalls of Betting For a Living | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | We would all like to turn our passion into a living but what are the psychological hurdles that are just as great an obstruction as choosing the right selection methods |
| Preservation Society | Horse Racing | John Jackson | Lots of talk recently of obtaining back copies of SmartSig from the 90's. John presents a solution beyond Smartsig |
| Winning Punters Pay Harsh Penalty for Success | Horse Racing | Email Group | A lively email debate on the rights and wrongs of bookmaker's banning punters |
| Home and away goals and the simple Poisson model | Football | Alun Owen | Alun continues on his PhD work and looks at the correlation between home and away goals |
| 2yo Maiden Winners Does the distance matter | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | As we enter a glut of 2yo races, does the distance they win at make any distance over the next three starts |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Draft 2 Introduction | Staking | John Jackson | An overview of John Jackson forth coming book |
| How does glorious Goodwood form work out | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | What should we be backing next tiome out as we come out of the Goodwood festival ? |
| Statistical analysis of goal rates for in play betting | Football | Professor John Goddard | Fresh from the Salford University conference on Mathematics in sport Professor Goddard examines the factors that influence scoring rates |
| Betfair Premium Charges | Horse Racing | Email Forum | A debate from the forum on the jsutification or not of increased Betfair premium charges and how to calculate it. |
| How can you compile your own speed ratings | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A look at the fundamental components of creating your own speed ratings |
| Beating Betfair SP | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | How and when should bet in order to out perform Betfair SP ? |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | A Royal Ascot Nightmare | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Take a brolly with you to Ascot even if its not raining |
| Winning Distances | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | You can win and lose a lot on distance spread betting. Rick explains some of the key factors that influence the spreads |
| Nursery Handicaps | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | The Nursery season is upon us and Dave marks our card on where we should be focusing |
| New Trainers On The Block | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Nathan sets the scene for an ongoing review of how to hopefully locate promising new trainers |
| International Conference Mathematics in Sport | Horse Racing | Alun Owen | A summary of the 3rd international conference on Mathematics applied to sport held at Salford University |
| Overnight Withdrawels Continued | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Following on from Colin Magee's article a broader look at the performance of withdrawn horses next time out |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Big Race trends The Royal Hunt Cup | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | As the royal meeting approaches some angles and stats to get you on the right side of the Hunt cup |
| Profit From The Losers Revisited | Football | Nathan Hughes | If you liked or indeed made money as many did from Pauls March article, Nathans article will also be of interest. |
| Using Excel to Monitor Official Ratings | Horse Racing | Peter M Chadburn | How to get a spreadsheet of changing OR's and the analysis of meaning behind them. |
| Pace in a Race Revisited | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave starts with tracks but go's much further in his analysis of pace in a race. |
| The Golden Rules of Betting | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Is there such a list the Racing Post seem to think so. Smarties contribute their own ideas to the subject. |
| A Brief History of Money Mangement | Staking | John Jackson | John takes a look at some of the past ideas and research on this topic. Even Phill Bull gets a wrap across the knuckles. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Aussie Firepower Slightly Damp For Ascot | Horse Racing | Brian Blackwell | Which Aussie invaders should we be looking at for the June Ascot festival |
| A Dynamic Forecasting Model Of Football Match Outcomes | Football | Alun Owen | Alun continues his look at his PhD work and the unique dynamic nature of his football model |
| The Newmarket Wizards Jon Babb | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Interveiw with pro punter Jon Babb |
| Become A Small Stable Expert | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | Having a finger on the pulse of good small stables can be very profitable, Nathan checks out some likely candidates. |
| Not Accepting The Luck Of The Draw | Horse Racing | Colin Magee | An examination of how to change those bad draw withdrawels into profit |
| Calculating The Draw Bias At Goodwood | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A look at Goodwoods draw bias and perhaps more importantly how to calculate it |
| LTO Winners on The Flat | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | How important are LTO winners and which should we take notice of? |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | John Jackson | Football | Tarnished Beauty | What has gone wrong with the beautiful game? John lets off steam and suggests a few remedies |
| Colin Magee | Horse Racing | Rolling trainer strike rates | Deciding when a trainer is in or out of form is no easy task. Colin examines the evidence through rolling strike rates. |
| Rick Taylor | Horse Racing | What did the professor have to | Rick looks at alternative academic sources for betting ideas |
| Mark Littlewood | Horse Racing | The Newmarket Wizards | Interview with tipster, pundit and long time pro gambler Steve Lewis Hamilton |
| Email Group | Horse Racing | Betting and Stress | Coping with stress can be as important as those form factors we adhere to but how best to cope with it? |
| Dave Renham | Tennis | The clay court season stats | An interesting article for regular tennis bettors or those looking to break into this area |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Using the betting market as a guide to finding winners | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | How much notice do we take of the shape of the betting market and more importantly how can we measure it. |
| Variance what does it look like | Horse Racing | Mark Goodhead | A look at how variance can fool us all. An accompanying spreadsheet allows you to test your own samples. |
| 2010/11 an unusual year in the Scottish Premier | Football | Dr Alun Owen | Its a funny old game and certainly a funny old year in the SPL |
| New year predictions revisited | Football | Paul Mglinchey | How reliable are new year league positions with regard to end of season results. Paul uncovers some remarkable value |
| Ratings and Regression | Horse Racing | Email Group | Some useful discussion on the email group about compiling ratings |
| Cheltenham festival trends 2011 | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Trends expert Dave Renham drills down into the relevant trends as we approach the festival |
| Improving apprentices for the turf season | Horse Racing | Nathan Hughes | With the turf flat season looming Nathan takes a look at some apprentices to keep an eye on. His previous selections returned a profit. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | PDC World Championship 2011 | Darts | John Jackson | Jacko makes an early start to unravelling the up and coming darts world championship |
| Sire Analysis - A Dirty Dozen | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A look at a quick and easy method for analysing sires for the AW |
| Using Data Mining Tolls in Horse Racing Prediction | Horse Racing | Simon Ord | A beginners guide to the free data mining tool WEKA and its application to regression analysis |
| Steamers Well Horses That Drop in Price | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | An examination of how various trainers perform when market supported. |
| Creating an Oddsline | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Ricky takes a look at the four steps you need to cover to create a reliable oddsline |
| Lie Dammed Lies and Recent Trainer Form | Horse Racing | Colin Magee | Just how useful is it looking at recent trainer form. A look at some of the methods used |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | New Year KISS | | John F Jackson | A KISS for the more volatile markets where reaction is usually an over reaction. |
| Improving Apprentices For The AW Season | | Nathan Hughes | A look at some apprentices worth noting for the coming AW season with profits already generated in December |
| In Play Trading Using In Play Data | | Mark Littlewood | How useful is past in play data for future in play trading. |
| Automatic Exchange Betting | | Rick Taylor | A review of AEB and Colin Magees's book |
| Trainer Analyser | | Mark Littlewood | Six years of data and a look at the trainer analyser on the web site. |
| The Apprentice Betting System Task | | Dave Renham | Sir Alan sets the would be apprentices a system building task, with regret someone will be fired. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Fitting Poisson Models to Football Match Outcomes Part IV | Football | Alun Owen | In this fourth part of the series Alun takes a look at how good the Poisson model is at forecasting individual scores |
| Betfair User Security and Your Responsibility | General | Nathan Hughes | The recent experiences of one reader can be a lesson to all of us when it comes to improving the security of our online betting security |
| Big Race Trends - The Welsh National | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | What key factors should we be examining in order to improve our chances of finding the Welsh National winner |
| National Hunt Pace Bias | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A track by track look at how pace effects the outcome of NH races |
| Racing Post Tipster Selection KISS | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | A look at the viability of finding a profit laying or backing on the selections of the Racing Post |
| Recent Trainer Form - Flat | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Continuing from last month a look at the worthiness of recent trainer form on the flat and a potentially profitable area |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Wet and Wellin Review | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A review of the results and profit generated from Septembers well in angle |
| NH Sires | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Flats sires have always been ripe for analysis but Dave takes a look at the NH scene from a breeding perspective |
| Jumpers to Follow | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | With the new NH season getting into full swing Rick takes a look at some possible money earners |
| Fitting Poisson models to forecast football match outcomes | Football | Alun Owen | Part 3 of Aluns series in which he compares the simple and bivariate poisson models |
| Recent Trainer Form | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | How significant is the recent form of a trainer when assessing a bet |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | The global supercomputer Darknet | General | John F Jackson | Jacko invites us all to take the red pill in his final trilogy on the computer big guns and their dubious practices |
| The jump to profit system | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | A profitable system for the coming NH season |
| Using Scrum to become a successful punter | General | Ted Ashworth | The software project development methodology Scrum applied to making you a better bettor |
| Averaging ratings using Perl | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | If you want to start writing code to analyse your own data then this may be your starting point |
| Lessons from the worlds biggest punter | Horse Racing | David Duffield | A look at the common ground between horse betting and the worlds biggest hedge fund operator |
| Pace Angles for the Winter | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look how pace influences the winter game |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Post Mortem | Staking | John F Jackson | John examines a series of bets in his usual challenging style and shows how a combination of proportional staking and hedging can blow the roof on the profit graph |
| Wet and Wellin | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | With the weather changing who is well in on the coming soft ground and how can we measure it |
| Paddock Notes | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick takes a look at paddock notes and how to get the most out of this relatively unused area |
| Something for Everyone | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A pub conversation leads to a selection box of stats and useful angles from Dave |
| Sire Analyser | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Which sire has an over 40% ROI on fibresand. A look at how to use the new Sire analyser facility on the web site |
| Doncaster St Ledger meeting the trends | Horse Racing | David Myers | Trends expert David Myers publishes his first article here with a look at the up and coming Ledger festival |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | MySheet | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A look at the latest web site facility that enables you to create personalised data sheets for the days racing. |
| A simple system for maiden races | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | The headline results from testing this system show that over the last three years the system found 389 selections and had 177 winners, representing a strike rate of over 46 per cent. This keeps losing runs short and is good from a psychological point of view because you are frequently at the payout window. The overall profit to a 1-point stake was almost £65 |
| Implementing Bivariate Poisson football models in R | Football | Alun Owen | Alun continues his article series after reader requests to cover the Bivariate Poisson model |
| Automatic bet placement | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | An introduction to a utility that may solve your bet placement needs whilst you are on holiday |
| Draw bias revisited | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Sometimes the draw can be like moving quicksand, Dave is an expert on the draw and he looks at what has been changing recently. |
| How to use Excel 2007 as a system builder | General | George Swan | Getting data into Excel is one thing but how can we use Excel to then test the validity of various system scenarios. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | KISS a simple system for 2yo races | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | A simple system for the coming spate of 2yo races |
| Fitting Poisson models to predict football match outcomes us | Football | Alun Owen | An insight into Aluns football modelling PhD work this time using R as his exploratory vehicle |
| Is there a link to more successful trainers using past in ru | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | How do individual trainers perform in respect to a horses running style, Dave uncovers the facts. |
| Using support vector machines to predict winners | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | Ted introduces to his series the all important aspect of finding overlays |
| Trainer Analysis | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Introduction to the new Trainer analysis facility |
| Watching Racehorses | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Some of the key factors behind John Hutsons paddock watching and a possible quick and dirty alternative. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Jam,ie Spencer jockey analysis | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | You either love him or loathe him (Spencer that is), Dave takes a look at the stats associated with this most talked about jockey. |
| World cup 2010 update | Football | John F Jackson | John exmaines how to utilise the spread odds and traditional fixed odds to form a model for the tournament. Accompanying software with the article. |
| Front running favourites | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | How leathal are favourites that get to the front early and where best to back them. |
| Draw bias at Royal Ascot | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | With the big summer meeting on the horizon Rick runs over the draw at the royal meeting. |
| How to use LightSVM | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | Ted continues his series on Support Vector Machines and provides some accompanying software. |
| Gelded since last run | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A look at the overall performance of horses gelded since their last run and which trainers do well with these types. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | World Cup 2010 | Football | John F Jackson | With only weeks to go to the 2010 World Cup, you cannot afford to bet without consulting Johns article and spreadsheet |
| Using Support Vector Machines to Pick Winners | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | Used by William Bentner, Ted gives the first of a series on utilising SVMs |
| Lessons from Kelly | Horse Racing | Mark Goodhead | Mark looks at the effect the odds have on bank growth when utilising Kelly |
| Bumper Profits | Horse Racing | Bill Smith | How to use the Cheltenham bumper race to secure future profit |
| The Derby Ssytem | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A profile of the key factors that determine the Derby winner |
| 3 yo Maidens | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | We are in the 3yo maiden period and approapriately Dave takes a look at the profitable areas within these races. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Dany Nichols sprint king or is there more to him | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | He is known mainly as an effective trainer of sprint handicappers but is there more to Dandy Nichols than this?. |
| The Newmarket Wizards - Tom Segal | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Interview with Tom Segal, Pricewise of the Racing Post |
| Early season 2yo races | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | With early 2yo races about to unfold Dave takes a look at where the profit can be found |
| Avoiding account closures | General | Email List | A very active session on the email list looks at methods to keep bookmakers off your scent when it comes to closing down winning accounts.
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| Aintree stats other than the National | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A look at the hurdle and chase races at the big spring meeting and where the better bets have been.
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| Delta Neutral | Staking | John F Jackson | Controlling volatility and locking in profits by hedging ... detailed, worked examples for a bookmaker special offer and a daily SP spread bet.
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| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Can We Talk | Staking | John F Jackson | John go's for the jugular after a frustrating exchange on the email list about hedging. If you didn't believe Phill Bull maybe John will convince you. |
| Staking How Should We Do It | Staking | Michael Wilding | After a debate on the email discussion list Michael sets out his thoughts on how to approach staking, including an explanation of Kelly and half Kelly |
| Readers Requests - Trainer gambles | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | An update on which trainers were profitable with their gambled horses in 2009 |
| Big Race Trends - The Arke Trophy | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | An in depth look at the trends behind the Arkle trophy at Cheltenham |
| The Newmarket Wizards - Richard Hoiles | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Interview with TV pundit and commentator Richard Hoiles. |
| Key Cheltenham Trends | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A look at the key trends behind all the Cheltenham races. Invaluable if you are punting at the festival. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Newmarket Wizards Nick Aubrey | Horse Racing | David Duffield | Interveiw with the Australian pro punter Nick Aubrey |
| Validating Ratings | Horse Racing | G Swan | How can we measure confidence in a set of ratings. |
| Betting on the Kempton AW | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A look at some of the factors surrounding Kempton AW betting with a simple to follow system in summary |
| Rating the five betting systems | General | Alun Owen | Alun applies some of his previously documented methods with a blow by blow attempt at the pre xmas competition to rate five betting systems |
| 3 yos first run of the season | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Whith the flat looming who should we be looking out for with 3yo seasonal debuts |
| Knockout | General | John F Jackson | With the help of Excel John explains how to calculate winning chances from various knockout tournament stage positions |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | ARCHIE a method for evaluating systems | Horse Racing | Steve Tilley | Steve's original article shows a simple to opearte method for evaluating the validity of system results. Published also as a pre read to Aluns piece. |
| The Newmarket Wizards - Hugh Taylor | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | The next installment of the Newmarket wizards is an interview with ATR's Hugh Taylor |
| Big race trends - The King George | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | A look at the race trends and stats that can help you unravel the boxing day showdown |
| A Christmas selection box | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A selction of systems and angles to take you into a profitable new year. |
| How many bets do you need to assess your system using ARCHIE | Horse Racing | Alun Owen | Alun continues the work of the original Archie article which looked at how to assess the robustness of system results. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Market Bias Revisted Part II | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave continues his study of market bias with the second part of his article looking at field size.
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| The Hennesy Gold Cup | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Narrowing the field down with a race profile of the up and coming Hennesy.
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| Olympic Memories | Horse Racing | John Jackson | While we are united by a common interest in gambling ... are we not also united by a love of the sports themselves?
The thrill of the chase. The beautiful game. The spectacle. The atmosphere. The friendship.
Here are one punter's memories of arguably the greatest sporting event in the history of mankind.
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| Neural Network Learning Methods and AW Racing | Horse Racing | Peter May | A look at some of the underlying principles underpinning neural networks and their application to horseracing |
| Draw LTO | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Good draw last time out bad bet next time out ?, a look at the stats. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Profitable Headway | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | We read the daily race comments on a daily basis but do we really understand them all in terms of profitable impact. |
| Grumpy Holiday Notes | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A typical example of the application of pace despite the Algarve keyboards |
| Beating the Football Spreads using conditional Probabilities | Football | Ted Ashworth | A look at how to gain an edge by examining the odds in seperate but related football markets |
| Pace Running Styles in NH races | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | How does the question of pace relate to NH racing. Dave takes a long overdue look at the winter code. |
| Wellin Horses II | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | The second part in a look at horses returning to favourable marks, with a trainer by trainer breakdown. |
| Prediciting Pace | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick continues his series on how he approaches the analysis of race pace. |
| King Canute Must Die | Horse Racing | John F Jackson | Where do you stand with respect to the digital revolution?, be prepared to at least shuffle a little after reading Jacko. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | System testing competition | Horse Racing | Peter May | Using a set of results from 2008 can you predict which of a number of systems have perfomed the best in 2009 and win 4 months free membership. |
| Well in horses | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | What does it mean when a horse is well in and how profitable can it be to follow them |
| Trainers two runners | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | What should we do when a trainer has two runners in a race. Dave examines the stats. |
| Measuring early pace | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Ricky explains his approach to catagorising and measuring early pace in a race. |
| Mamite market mapper | Horse Racing | A N Other | A useful software tool for monitoring exchange prices |
| Market Bias revisited | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave continues his research into market bias witha more general look at turf races |
| Show me the supercomputer | Horse Racing | John Jackson | John takes a look at what needs to be considered when you set out to buy a new computer system |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Educating Trevor | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A year with an apprentice bettor at his side highlights how mindset is probably the most difficult pro punter characteristic to adopt |
| Market bias in 5f handicaps | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look at what assistance the market offers in 5f handicaps |
| Multiple Mugs | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Would a profitable straight win set of bets create better returns if bet in Lucky 15's. |
| How reliable are breeding stats | Horse Racing | Mark Foley | A look at some of the myths and dangers of misuse of breeding stats |
| Developing Statistical Models using R III | Horse Racing | Alun Owen | Aluns third part in a series looking at statistical methods using R. This month developing a binary logistical regression model |
| Developing Systems | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Rick gives some general advice on how to improve your chances of developing successful systems |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Developing statistical models part II | Horse Racing | Alun Owen | Following on from June, part II of Alun's introduction to building models for horse racing data. |
| Two year old debutants in maidens | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | With the 2yo season starting to flourish, Dave takes a more in depth look at 2yo debutants. |
| Impact Values | Horse Racing | Michael Wilding | In response to an email request Michael takes an introductory look for beginners at the use of Impact Values. |
| When to back the favourite | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Finding good favourites and avoiding bad ones, Rick takes a look at the figures. |
| Are you feeling lucky, well are you Steve | Horse Racing | SmarterSig | Should we put any faith in numbers, well Steve doesn't think so and he should know he works for the Racing Post |
| 2yo Trainers | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | How do the various trainers fair with their 2yo's first second and third timne out |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Developing statistical models for racing using R | Horse Racing | Alun Owen | A beginners guide to building statistical horse racing models using the free downloadable package R |
| Pace Running Styles for Jockeys | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look at which Jocks to watch out for in relation to pace profiles. |
| Programming with the Betfair API | Horse Racing | Ted Ashworth | Introduction to programming the Betfair API |
| Jockey and Trainer Trends for Royal Ascot | Horse Racing | Rick Taylor | Who should we look out for this months up and coming Ascot festival |
| Successful Betting Characteristics | Horse Racing | Email Chat | What characterises a successful punter, interesting discussion from the email list |
| Derby 2009 Breeding Ratings | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood & Peter May | Evaluating this years derby from the npoint of class and distance using pedigree ratings. |
| Going and Pace | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Do front runners do better on soft or firm, AW or turf?. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Good Pace Good Draw Good Bet | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | An examination of which course, track and draw sections offer the best figures for horses with prominent running pace profiles. |
| 2nd Run 2yos | Horse Racing | Mark Foley | Which trainers can be relied upon to show marked improvement from their second time out 2yos. |
| Conference news | Horse Racing | Alun Owen | Updates on a couple of up and coming conferences that may be of interest to sports bettors. |
| Finding Different Ways to Evaluate Performance | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Is wins to runs the only or best way to evaluate performance when analysing past data?. |
| Repeat Winners | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Which trainers can be relied upon to get repeat wins from their 2yos, Rick investigates. |
| Statistical Forecasting & Football Match Outcomes | Football | Alun Owen | The final part in Aluns series sees him find further improvements to the model developed last eyar. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Premier league darts part III | Darts | John Jackson | Johns third installment takes a look at some general principles for gathering data from the web and in particular Betfair prices |
| Trying to spot horses that shorten in running | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look at some methods for trading horse prices for a profit via the in running markets. |
| Grand National Trends | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Some vital stats and trends to help you find this years National winner |
| Finding Winners by Natural Selection | Horse Racing | G E Swan | George takes a look at the Darwinian world of Genetic Alogorithms and their application to winner finding. Accompanying software to get you going with your own experiments. |
| Kiss Tips update and Avoiding Closed Accounts | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | An update on the profits from the first month of the Kiss Tips and some further advice on keeping betting accounts open. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Premier League Darts 2009 Part II | Darts | John F Jackson | John continues his model building process for the ongoing darts tournament. The fixed odds and spread quotes produced take account of the first throw advantage. |
| 2yo Summary 2008 | Horse Racing | Peter May | Peter Mays top 2008 2yo's with breeding predictions for 3 yo careers. |
| Horse Profiling | Horse Racing | Dave Peat | Dave continues his look at horse profiling as a method for bet selection. |
| The Betting Market As A Guide To Winners | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Utilising the betting market as a short cut to profit. |
| Was All The Research Worth It | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | As the flat season looms up Dave looks at some trainer predictions that held up last year and hopefully will repeat again. |
| KISS Tips | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A daily KISS brought right to your door |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Cheltenham festival trends - The Champion Hurdle | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | Rick turns hs attention away from the Gold cup and this month focuses on the up and coming Champion hurdle with ideas that have produced good profits in the past. |
| Favourites in Novice Hurdles | Horse Racing | David Renham | How to make a profit from fancied horses in novice hurdles. A wealth of stats point the way through. |
| KISSed Again | Horse Racing | Justin Penrose | Justin continues his look at the relationship between the two main betting forecast sources and the final outcome of horse races. |
| ATASS Sports Seminar review | Horse Racing | Alun Owen | A review of the December 2008 West Midlands statistical society talk by ATASS sports (sports modelling) and Mark Dixon |
| Horse race prediction - Monte Carlo simulation | Horse Racing | G E Swan | How to use a Monte Carlo simulation to convert horse ratings into probabilities. Comes with accompanying software to carry out the simulation |
| Weighing up horse profiles | Horse Racing | David Peat | A first look at horse profiles and the useful ingredients that can paint a rich picture about a horses preferences and limitations. |
| Premier League Darts | Darts | John F Jackson | John takes a look at assessing odds and identifying profitable bets on the coming 2009 Premier darts league in addition to downloading up to date prices from bookmakers and Betfair |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Kelly Matters and the Varance/Mean stakng Plan | Staking | Jon Desler | Jon examines the application of Kelly to markets that are not easily receptive to the popular staking plan. |
| KISSed Some More | Horse Racing | Justin Penrose | Justin continues his investigation into the strategies that lie behind an examination of the forecast markets. |
| Discpline | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Is it really important or just an excuse as one Betfair forum member suggests |
| Using Systems to Lay Horses | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look at the other side of the fence with some stats and methods for layers. |
| Bouncing Bobby Robbie Bookie | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | How significant is the bounce factor and are there any outright profitable systems surrounding it. |
| Cheltenham Festival Trends | Horse Racing | Ricky Taylor | First article from Rick who takes a look at selection trends for the Cheltenham Gold Cup |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | When conditions are just right | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Mark finishes some unfinished business from 1995 |
| Backing horses with poor recent form | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | There is nothing like backing a big priced winner. Dave looks at some factors to slim ddown the picks. |
| Changes in distance does it matter | Horse Racing | Dave renham | What relevance does the previous distance run have at various distances of todays race. |
| Topspeed Recency and Runs NH | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | How best to use topspeed ratings. this time a look at the NH hurdle scene. |
| KISSED | Horse Racing | Justin Penrose | Justin looks at a possible assist to other systems via the betting forecasts. |
| Flat Trainers in Sellers | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A continuing look at the performance of trainers in Flat race sellers |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Trainer Changes | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A look at the performance of horses coming out of new yards. |
| The course can make a difference | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Which trainers should be noted at which courses, Dave uncovers some useful stats. |
| Trainer Gambles NH 2007 | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A continuation of the exmination of trainers to note when backed in the market. |
| Rating Maiden Debutants | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Prompted by an email discussion, an initial look at rating newcomers based on trainer trends. |
| NH Trainers in Sellers | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Who are the trainers to follow in sellers and how do they do with seller debutants |
| Price Equivalence | Staking | John Jackson | With so wide a variety of markets available to us John takes a look at some methods for extracting the best deals |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | NN and AI ratings video | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A downloadable video of how the ratings were compiled for the NN article. Apologies for slight synch problem on second half of video. Download Video |
| Trainer Gambles | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A continuation of the examination of trainer performance with market droppers and drifters. This time the NH trainers come under the microscope |
| Systems have a shelf live | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look at some previously profitable systems that have fallen on harder times and explains why many systems suffer this fate |
| Neural Networks AI Ratings | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Mark dips his big toe into the practical world of NN's and re-explores the compilation of the AI ratings |
| Placepot Analysis | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | The first in a series of articles examining the underlying influences on this popular bet |
| Automated Exchange Betting book review | Horse Racing | Patrick Gamble | A review of Colin Magee's new book on Automated exchange betting |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Free wine lunch and yankees | Horse Racing | John Jackson | Whats the best approach to an offer of a free yankee if only one of your original yankee selections wins. |
| Profiting from staying 2yos in the latter part of the season | Horse Racing | Mark Foley | It takes a certain kind of horse to win the late season staying 2yo races. Mark examines the factors that offer the best guidelines |
| Readers requests trainer gambles 2 | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | The second part examining the performance of flat trainers with respect to their entries that drift and drop in the betting |
| Late season trainer 2yos | Horse Racing | Mark Foley | Which trainers should we focus on as the Autumn 2yo season kicks in |
| Email chat - combining ratings | Horse Racing | Email group | Some interesting email discussion on combining two sets of ratings to make selections |
| Do you remember the Legacy system | Horse Racing | Gerald Simpson | Gerald takes a run through the system and how it can be applied today |
| Statistical forecasting models and football match outcomes 3 | Football | Alun Owen | Alun continues his series with part 3 on modelling football match outcomes. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Readers Requests - Trainer Gambles | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | How do various trainers perform with their price droppers and drifters. |
| Statistical Forecasting Models and Football Match Outcomes | Football | Alun Owen | Part II of Aluns series on modelling techniques for football match prediction. |
| Jockey / Trainer Combinations | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A look at the profitable areas surrounding various trainers and jockeys combined |
| Does the Going Matter | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Just how important is the going to the betting pound in our pocket |
| Front Running Research | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave continues his research into pace patterns on the flat |
| Blink Update | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Update on the progress and profit of Blink selections from the web site |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Profiting From Pullers | Horse Racing | Mark Layden | What have the Derby winner New Approach and the 60 rated Grey Boy got in common?. |
| Key Race profits | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A continuation of the key race analysis from the last couple of months |
| Pace Disadvantaged LTO | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A look at what constitutes a pace disadvantaged horse last time out and how to spot them. |
| Running Styles / Pace Bias | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave continues his analysis of pace bias paying particular attention to courses |
| Blink - Thats Overpriced | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Inspired by a recent read, a ready replacment is found for the Edgewise experiment with some promising early results. |
| My Euro | Football | John F Jackson | John takes a look at his Euro 2008 betting experience |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Everything you wanted to know about Kelly | Staking | John Jackson | John sets about unravelling the much talked about Kelly |
| Entry Profiling | Horse Racing | Mark Litlewood | Whats in an entry, a look at the stats behind the trainer habits. |
| Profiting from Market Movers | Horse Racing | Peter Marko | Peter continues his look at trading the horses and appeals for volunteers |
| Email Chat | Horse Racing | Michael Bowman | A discussion of the WellIn horses on the web site highlights an excellent start to the season. |
| Key Race Profits | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A look at the profit from the previous months key races and a look ahead to this month |
| Three breeding KISS systems | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Three systems based on pedigree stats |
| Statistical Forecasting Models and Football Match Outcomes 1 | Football | Alun Owen | Part 1 introduces Models Based on the Poisson Probability Distribution |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Topspeed Recency And Runs | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | This month the question of what works best with topspeed is turned on handicap chasers. |
| Key Races II | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Following on from last months article, a look at Mays key races and how the April ones have shaped up. |
| A Possible Method For Greening Up On Betfair | Horse Racing | Saltbob | A look at one of this months exchanges on the email list. |
| The Punters Revenge Effect | Horse Racing | Justin Penrose | The first in a series of recommended books that helped shape members thinking about betting. |
| KISS | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | The second of Dave's keep it simple stupid systems. |
| Profiting from Market Moves | Horse Racing | Peter Marko | Is it possible to identify sufficient morning price droppers to trade a profit. Peter looks at a method that shows some early promise. |
| The Newmarket Wizards III | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | This months interview with the pro's is with author and pro punter Alan Potts |
| Trading in Running | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look at in running trading with a blow by blow account of one days trading. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Watching Paddock Watchers III | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | The conclusion to the paddock watching experiment and the question of whether there is value in the parade ring. |
| Topspeed Recency and Runs | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Prompted by an email list question, a look at how best to use speed figures in terms of recency and runs. |
| Racing Trends Revealed | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A review of the new book by David Myers |
| Sprint Handicap Preparation for the Flat Season | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave takes a look at an alternative approach to evaluating race class. |
| Key Races | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Can we identify key races before they occur. A look at the American definition and perhaps how past key races might help. |
| K.ISS | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A welcome return for this series of simple systems put forward by readers. |
| Sample Space | Horse Racing | John F Jackson | John gears his probability corner towards some questions raised on the email list regarding the value or no value inherent in a free yankee bet offered by bookmakers. |
| Review of the 2007 2yo Turf Season | Horse Racing | Peter May | Peter May takes a look at last years 2yo with a view to the 2008 season |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | The Journey of the Invisible Pink Unicorn | Horse Racing | John Jackson | John identifies common but erroneous gambling beliefs.
Explains the intuition behind Kulldorff’s strategy for gambling on favourable games.
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| Your Country Needs You | Horse Racing | John Jackson | Jacko makes a call to arms and as an example asks what you would like to see in a programming or probabaility corner. |
| The Edgewise Experiment part 1 | Horse Racing | Justin Penrose & Peter Marko | The wisdom of crowds and concensus value betting experiment currently active on the email list, Justin and Peter go behind the figures to maximise profit. |
| Watching Paddock Watchers II | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Does paddck watching actually offer an edge. An update on the figures first quoted in the Feb Mag. |
| Making a Profit with Spread Betting | Horse Racing | Alex | Getting started with spread betting isn't easy. Alex guides the way. |
| The Newmarket Wizards II | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Under the spotlight this month is pro gambler Laurence Lambourn, the man behind equineinvestments.co.uk |
| Pace Angles for Profit III on the AW | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | Dave continues his investigation of pace angles focusing this month on Lingfield |
| Automatic Betting Data Sources and Smartform | Horse Racing | Colin Magee | An introduction to the world of automatic betting in its widest sense and the limitations of previous provisions. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | EdgeWise the wisdom of crowds | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | An account of how SmarterSig members pooled resources and opinions to crack open some real profit in January. |
| Watching paddock watchers | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Does paddock watching yield a real edge. Mark begins a project to find out. |
| The newmarket wizards | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Last months interviewee and pro punter Russell Clarke answers some readers questions on pro punting |
| Pace angles for profit on the AW (2) | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | A continuation of this series into how pace analysis can be utilised on the AW |
| AI ratings review | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | The AI ratngs have been around for a few years. What are they made up of and how have they performed?. |
| A bumpy ride on the road to profit | Horse Racing | Mark Foley | Mark takes a look at some profitable angles in NH bumper races |
| Alternative strategies for football game predictions | Football | Stefan Perry | Stef takes a look at how it may be possble to move away from an overall evaluation of form when assessing a football match to one which becomes sensitive to how each team has perfomed against similar sides to the one it meets today. |
| Title | Type | Author | Description | | Early, Live and SP Betting | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | Are we better off betting in the early or pre race live markets. Some stats from a survey highlight where its best to play. |
| The Sports Trader Blog | Horse Racing | Justin Penrose | Justin looks at the methods behind a profitable in running sports trader. |
| AW Trainer Stats | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | With the AW season about to kick in, Dave takes a look at some profitable AW trainer angles. |
| Pace Angles for Profit | Horse Racing | Dave Renham | An examination of pace and its potential for profit on the All Weather tracks |
| The Newmarket Wizards | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | First in a series of interviews with the professional players kicks off with Russell Clarke, ex Odds On columnist and long time pro' |
| First Time in Handicaps - Trainer Analysis | Horse Racing | Mark Littlewood | A brief look at trainer profiles for inmates making their first, second and third run in handicap company. Accompanying spreadsheet shows all trainers. |
